Maximum temperatures will stay above seasonal averages until Sunday, 1 November, reaching up to 29ºC in the southern region. In the North and Centre, temperatures will be lower, though they may still reach around 20ºC.
This update is from Bica
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Portugal expects a week of instability due to a 'cold drop' phenomenon, with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and hail, particularly on Monday, 5 October. Precipitation is expected to peak between 14:00 and 20:00 on Monday, moving from the Lisbon and central coast regions toward the interior and north, with conditions easing by mid-week and a return to drier weather by Friday. Temperatures remain above the seasonal average throughout the country, with daytime highs reaching up to 29ºC in some areas.
Portugal's weather institute (IPMA) forecasts unseasonably warm weather across mainland Portugal, with temperatures reaching 28°C over the weekend of 31 October and 1 November. Warm, dry conditions will persist until mid-week, followed by a gradual increase in cloud cover and potential rain in the south, with more widespread rain expected by the weekend of 7 and 8 November.
Western Europe recorded its hottest summer on record, averaging 21.7°C, which is 2.5°C above the 1991-2020 average. In Portugal, the current wildfire season saw nearly 8,000 fires and 74,267 hectares burned, which represents a 72% decrease in burned area compared to the same period in 2025.